Data-driven analysis using primary sources, historical comparisons, and transparent calculations.
EIA forecasts U.S. distillate inventories below 100 million barrels in September 2026. Here is what that may—and may not—mean for diesel prices, freight costs, and inflation.
Short answer: No, not on an hourly basis. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that real average hourly earnings for private-sector employees fell 0.1% from July to August 2026, seasonally adjusted. Average hourly pay rose 0.3%, but the CPI-U rose 0.4%. Real average weekly earnings nevertheless rose 0.2% because the average workweek increased … Read more
PPI and CPI measure different stages of inflation. See August 2026 data, the transmission path, and why producer costs do not map directly into consumer prices.
August PPI accelerated from July, driven by a 1.1% rise in final-demand goods. The report adds context before CPI but is not a one-for-one forecast.